Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 121.807639 140.188961 161.490451 188.263623 221.391416 261.545053 3.146930e+02
2025-03-30 93.564101 115.397836 143.288716 182.434847 237.509628 314.803377 4.365855e+02
2025-04-06 80.247791 103.557708 135.341245 183.545357 258.132178 375.645432 5.905325e+02
2025-04-13 70.730970 94.394148 128.286896 182.896147 274.191727 432.999817 7.659252e+02
2025-04-20 65.687277 90.411974 127.488173 190.800165 305.122821 525.648300 1.064396e+03
2025-04-27 63.018827 89.347943 130.633273 205.355327 351.524272 667.203026 1.591485e+03
2025-05-04 57.705900 83.432516 124.995115 203.274018 365.310073 745.756992 2.033126e+03
2025-05-11 53.972429 79.531148 122.047386 205.369960 388.146433 857.336260 2.732222e+03
2025-05-18 49.918765 74.636984 116.694786 201.736498 397.209880 937.895969 3.448038e+03
2025-05-25 47.146453 71.585427 114.180858 203.272338 418.926088 1068.850744 4.704361e+03
2025-06-01 44.475857 68.434673 111.076995 202.972609 436.065353 1197.505125 6.354946e+03
2025-06-08 41.734296 64.909149 106.863519 199.527156 443.976951 1300.440322 8.254888e+03
2025-06-15 40.525289 64.194536 108.316089 210.047727 497.993717 1648.716167 1.542520e+04
2025-06-22 37.574237 60.090118 102.710250 203.255790 498.998099 1773.394521 2.152147e+04
2025-06-29 35.734877 57.863590 100.601965 204.540443 526.631643 2070.746222 3.868110e+04
2025-07-06 33.903308 55.483784 97.889923 203.789128 547.567950 2368.329399 7.252720e+04
2025-07-13 33.068356 54.919111 98.904015 212.945545 609.040074 3055.082924 2.662030e+05
2025-07-20 32.838969 55.497263 102.441996 229.859098 711.872499 4387.756399 7.857620e+06
2025-07-27 31.247991 53.234262 99.400070 227.436496 732.298825 5031.330309 NaN
2025-08-03 30.112552 51.799069 98.079769 229.876135 777.272537 6173.783184 NaN
2025-08-10 28.656265 49.601921 94.772256 225.647714 788.353695 6939.271175 NaN
2025-08-17 27.669701 48.304650 93.451006 227.434541 832.440452 8555.142007 NaN
2025-08-24 26.635077 46.833973 91.568870 227.085773 865.793832 10290.933944 NaN